The round 8 group stage match of the 2025/26 Champions League between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Bodø/Glimt (Norway) will take place on 28 january at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium. Atletico Madrid vs Bodø/Glimt: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid drew in the last Champions League round away at Galatasaray (1:1). The result was mixed. On one hand, the club secured participation in the playoff ties. But because of losing 2 points the team left the top eight, dropping to 12th place in the table. Now, to climb back into the direct qualification zone for the round of 16, the club must achieve the best possible result in the decisive meeting with Bodø/Glimt. Even a win will not guarantee a return to the top eight, but a draw would make the chances much lower. It is worth noting that in the current Champions League season the home side has won all three previous home matches. Over the previous 18 home games in this tournament Atletico suffered only one defeat (13 wins, 4 draws).
- The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 Champions League group-stage matches.
- Atletico Madrid has won all six previous matches against Norwegian clubs in UEFA competitions.
- Atletico Madrid’s home run in the Champions League stands at 13 games (12 wins, 1 defeat).
Potential Atletico Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Ganczko, Matteo Ruggeri – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Alex Baena, Giuliano Simeone – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.
The participation of forward Antoine Griezmann in the match is in doubt.
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt sensationally defeated Manchester City (3:1) a few days ago, and by the chances they could have won by a larger margin. Thus Bodø/Glimt secured its first win in the Champions League group stage in the club’s history; previously the club had collected only 3 points in six matches. Importantly, the club moved up to 28th place in the table and kept hopes of qualifying for the playoff stage of European competition. However, this is achievable only by winning against Atletico Madrid, and even with the required result attention will be needed on rivals’ matches. Note that the team has failed to keep a clean sheet for eight Champions League matches, while Bodø/Glimt itself scored in eight of the last nine matches in this tournament.
- Bodø/Glimt scored at least 2 goals in five of their previous seven Champions League matches.
- The club won with a handicap (+1.5) in eight of the last nine matches in this European competition.
- At least two goals have been scored in each of Bodø/Glimt’s last five away Champions League matches.
Potential Bodø/Glimt Lineup (4-3-3)
Nikita Haikin – Fredrik Sjøvold, Odin Bjørtuft, Jostein Gundersen, Fredrik Bjørkan – Patrick Berg, Sondre Fet, Hakon Evjen – Ole Blomberg, Jens Petter Hauge, Kasper Heg.
Referee
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow Cards Shown (Including Second Yellow) – 24;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.4;
Red Cards Shown – 1;
Average Fouls Per Match – 20;
Penalties – 0%.
Atletico Madrid vs Bodø/Glimt: Match Prediction
Atletico slipped in the last Champions League round, and that point loss was not the club’s first in the current European campaign. However, it is important to note that all of those slips occurred away from home. At home the side collected the maximum 9 points, and overall the home winning run in the Champions League stands at six matches. Moreover, in five of those six games both teams scored, yet conceded goals did not unsettle the home side. We also note that including away fixtures, both teams scored in six of Atletico’s seven most recent Champions League matches.
Bodø/Glimt has just claimed its first Champions League win, and this historic result came at home. Outside its own stadium the club traditionally finds things noticeably harder. The visitors’ winless away run in the Champions League stands at five matches, and three of those five ended in defeat. At the same time it is noteworthy that in four recent away games for Bodø/Glimt in this tournament both teams scored. Overall, across the club’s seven previous group-stage matches we saw only one game without both teams scoring — a home match with Monaco (0:1).
Prediction: Atletico Madrid To Win + Both Teams To Score
