Matchday 14 of La Liga features Atletico Madrid taking on Alaves on November 23 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura (Spain)
Matches – 6 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 50%.
Predicted lineups for Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Jan Oblak – Clement Lenglet, Jose Maria Gimenez, Javi Galan, Reinildo Mandava – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo Riquelme – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Alaves (4-3-3): Antonio Sivera – Nahuel Tenaglia, Adrian Pica, Manu Sanchez, Abdel Abqar – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Ander Guevara – Abderrahman Rebbach, Carlos Vicente, Kike Garcia.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Atletico Madrid
The capital club has only one defeat in the current championship (the same as their city rivals Real Madrid). In the 11th round, Atletico lost away to Betis (0-1), followed by two consecutive clean-sheet victories against Las Palmas (2-0) and Mallorca (1-0). This allowed them to secure third place in the table and pull five points clear of the nearest rival outside the Champions League zone. Notably, Atletico's defense has conceded just 7 goals, the best record in La Liga.
- No more than two goals were scored in 7 of Atletico's last 8 La Liga matches.
- Atletico has not conceded more than one goal in their last 11 league matches.
- The club is unbeaten in their last 6 home games in La Liga (4 wins and 2 draws).
Alaves
The Basque side lost their last match away to Villarreal (0-3). This was their sixth defeat in the last seven league games (with one win over Mallorca – 1-0). Thanks to a successful start, the club is in 15th place, three points clear of the nearest relegation zone rival. Luis Garcia's side has conceded 22 goals, with only Valladolid having a worse defensive record in La Liga (25 goals).
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Alaves' last 6 league matches.
- Two or more goals were scored in 9 of Alaves' last 11 La Liga games.
- The club conceded at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 away league matches.
Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves: Match Prediction
Diego Simeone's side should have no trouble overcoming Alaves. The Basques are in poor form, losing not only to La Liga's top teams but also to mid-table sides. Moreover, they have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 league matches. It's also worth noting how Luis Garcia's side performs away from home – they have lost all five of their previous away league games.
Additionally, head-to-head encounters favor Atletico. The Madrid side has won all six of their last home meetings against Alaves in La Liga. During this series, the Basques have only managed three goals. Moreover, Atletico's home form is impressive, with 30 wins in their last 36 league matches (4 draws and 2 losses).
My prediction: Atletico Madrid with a handicap (-1)