The Matchday 34 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and Lecce will take place on April 25 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Lecce: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side triumphed over AC Milan away in the last round (1-0). As a result, Atalanta secured back-to-back wins in the league for the first time in 2025. Moreover, the team kept a clean sheet for the seventh time in their last ten Serie A matches. They have accumulated 64 points and remain in third place in the standings. Notably, the Bergamo side has scored 66 goals in the current championship, second only to Inter (72).
- The team has failed to win 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A (4 draws, 3 losses).
- A maximum of two goals were scored in 7 of the last 8 home games in the league.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in Atalanta's last 5 home matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Raoul Bellanova – Juan Cuadrado, Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenco, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Sead Kolasinac, Stefan Posch, and Giorgio Scalvini, along with forward Gianluca Scamacca, will miss out due to injuries.
Lecce
Marco Giampaolo's side was unable to counter Como in their last home match (0-3). Consequently, Lecce suffered their seventh defeat in the last eight matches and their seventh heavy defeat in the current Serie A season. Additionally, the club failed to score for only the second time in their last six league games. Lecce is currently 17th in the standings with 26 points, just one point clear of the relegation zone. Notably, the team has scored the fewest goals in this Serie A season (23).
- The club has not won 7 of their last 9 away matches in Serie A (1 draw, 6 losses).
- The team has not conceded in the second half of their last five away league games.
- Lecce scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)*
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Danilo Veiga – Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Thorir Helgason, Tete Morente, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Krstovic.
Defender Gabi Jean will miss out due to injury. Midfielder Medon Berisha and forward Nikola Krstovic are suspended.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 27%.
Atalanta vs. Lecce: Match Prediction
Recently, Gian Piero Gasperini's side has slowed down in home matches, scoring less frequently than before. In the first eight home games of the current championship, Atalanta scored at least two goals, but in the last eight, they have only scored more than once on two occasions. Moreover, in 4 of their last 5 home Serie A matches, Atalanta failed to break through opponents' defenses.
Lecce struggles in away matches, and in the current championship, the team has rarely performed well offensively. In 16 away matches this Serie A season, the club exceeded one goal only twice, and in nine matches, Lecce did not score at all. However, the team maintains a solid defense, not conceding more than two goals in any of their last five away games.
Considering all pre-match factors, I do not expect a high-scoring encounter in this match. My prediction: Total under 3
* Each team's lineup reflects their starting XI in their last match in this tournament.
