The Matchday 3 Serie A clash between Atalanta and Lecce will take place on September 14 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Lecce: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round, Ivan Juric's men couldn't overcome Parma away (1-1). As a result, Atalanta failed to win for the third consecutive Serie A match (2 draws, 1 loss). Moreover, the team has conceded in their last five league matches. The club has earned two points and is in 11th place in the standings.
- The team has not won 10 of their last 12 home Serie A matches (6 draws, 4 losses).
- Atalanta has not scored more than once in 7 of their last 10 home league games.
- A maximum of two goals have been scored in 8 of Atalanta's last 10 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Mario Pasalic, Nicola Zalewski – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Daniel Maldini.
Defender Sead Kolasinac and midfielder Ederson Lourenco will miss the match due to injuries. Forward Gianluca Scamacca is also doubtful due to injury.
Lecce
Eusebio Di Francesco's side lost 0-2 at home to AC Milan in the previous round. As a result, Lecce's unbeaten run in the league, which lasted four matches (2 wins, 2 draws), came to an end. Additionally, the club failed to keep a clean sheet for the first time in four Serie A matches. In the standings, the team is in 17th place with one point. Notably, Lecce is one of only three clubs yet to score in the current league season.
- The team has not won 7 of their last 8 away Serie A matches (4 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of Lecce's last 8 away league matches.
- Lecce has scored exactly once in 5 of their last 6 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Thiago Gabriel, Kialonda Gaspar, Danilo Veiga – Lassana Coulibaly, Lameck Banda, Santiago Pierotti, Ylber Ramadani, Tete Morente – Francesco Camarda.
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello (Italy)
Matches – 18 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 22%.
Atalanta vs. Lecce: Match Prediction
The Bergamo side has had a slow start to the current league season, particularly struggling in attack. Atalanta has not been prolific even at home: in their last ten home Serie A matches, they have only scored more than once on three occasions. Moreover, in four of these matches, they failed to score altogether.
Lecce, on the other hand, tends to challenge opponents of any level away from home, focusing on solid defensive play. This approach has limited their opponents' scoring opportunities: in their last nine away league matches, Lecce has conceded more than once only twice and kept a clean sheet three times. However, Lecce has also struggled offensively, scoring a maximum of one goal in their last eight away Serie A matches.
Considering this data, I do not expect a high-scoring game between these opponents. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
