The Matchday 31 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and Lazio will take place on April 6 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Lazio: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round, Gian Piero Gasperini's side suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Fiorentina. This marked Atalanta's second consecutive loss, although prior to this, they had only lost once in 23 Serie A matches. Moreover, the team had not conceded in five consecutive league matches before these defeats. The Bergamo side remains third in the standings with 58 points, but their gap to leaders Inter has widened to nine points. Notably, Atalanta ranks only ninth in terms of points earned at home in the current Serie A season (25).
- The team has not won in their last six home Serie A matches (4 draws, 2 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 home league matches.
- Atalanta conceded in 7 of their last 9 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Charles De Ketelaere, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Stefan Posch, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the match due to injuries.
Lazio
Marco Baroni's side drew 1-1 at home with Torino in the last round. As a result, Lazio has failed to win in five of their last six league matches (4 draws, 1 loss). Additionally, the team has not kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches. In the standings, the Romans have slipped to seventh place with 52 points, although they are just four points behind the top four. Notably, Lazio has scored 51 goals in the current championship, trailing only Inter (67) and Atalanta (63) in this regard.
- The club has not lost in 6 of their last 8 away Serie A matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Lazio's last 7 away league matches.
- The Romans have not conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 8 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-5-1)
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Alessio Romagnoli, Samuel Gigot, Elseid Hysaj – Matteo Guendouzi, Pedro Rodriguez, Gustav Isaksen, Nicolo Rovella, Mattia Zaccagni – Boulaye Dia.
Defender Patric Gabarron will miss the match due to injury. Midfielder Matteo Guendouzi is suspended.
Referee
Daniele Chiffi (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 31%.
Match Prediction: Atalanta vs. Lazio
Recently, Atalanta has struggled with results in home matches. While the team has secured several confident victories on the road, they have not won at home in a long time: in none of their last six home Serie A matches have they collected three points. Furthermore, Gian Piero Gasperini's side has not won by a margin of at least two goals at home in the league since October of last year.
Lazio, on the other hand, has had several successful away matches in recent rounds. In their last eight away Serie A encounters, the club has secured five wins and one draw. Notably, during this period, they defeated both Milan and Napoli. Furthermore, in their last 23 away league matches, the Romans have only lost by more than one goal on three occasions.
I believe Marco Baroni's side is capable of putting up a strong fight against Atalanta, who are not in their best form. My prediction: Lazio with a handicap (+1)
* The starting lineup for each team is from their last match in this tournament.
