The Round of 16 match in the Coppa Italia between Atalanta and Genoa will take place on December 3 at the New Balance Arena. Atalanta vs. Genoa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
Raffaele Palladino's side begins their current Coppa Italia campaign with this match. Last season, Atalanta was halted at the quarter-final stage, losing 0-1 to Bologna. Over the past seven editions of the tournament, the team reached the final three times but has never claimed the title. Notably, Atalanta has not kept a clean sheet in their last ten Coppa Italia matches.
- The team has won 10 of their last 12 home matches in the Coppa Italia.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Atalanta's last 11 home games in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Atalanta's last 12 home matches in the Coppa Italia.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien – Raoul Bellanova, Ederson Lourenco, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Ademola Lookman.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini is unavailable due to injury.
Genoa
Genoa has successfully navigated two rounds in the current Coppa Italia. The team first defeated Vicenza 3-0 and then overcame Empoli 3-1. Consequently, Genoa has reached the Round of 16 in the Coppa Italia for the sixth time in the last seven seasons, but they have never advanced past this stage in the 21st century. It's worth noting that in their last six matches in this tournament, Genoa has never conceded more than one goal.
- The team has not won in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Coppa Italia (3 draws, 5 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Genoa's last 10 away games in this tournament.
- Genoa has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in their last seven away matches in the Coppa Italia.
Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)
Nicola Leali – Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez, Aaron Martin Caricol – Mikael Ellertsson, Morten Thorsby, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Vitinha – Lorenzo Colombo.
Referee
Mario Perry (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie B and Coppa Italia, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 30;
Penalties – 33%.
Prediction for Atalanta vs. Genoa
Atalanta tends to play assertively at home, spending much time on the opponent's half of the field. This aggressive style allows the team to score regularly: in their last 12 home matches in the Coppa Italia, Atalanta failed to score only once. In eight of those matches, the team scored at least three goals. However, Atalanta's defense is not always reliable, as they have conceded in their last six matches in this tournament.
Genoa, in my opinion, can exploit the hosts' defensive weaknesses: in their last 12 away matches in the Coppa Italia, they failed to score only four times. However, Genoa is likely to struggle against Atalanta's attack, as they have not kept a clean sheet in their last nine matches in this tournament.
I expect both teams to score in this match, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
