The Matchday 27 Premier League fixture between Aston Villa and Leeds will take place on 21 February at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs Leeds: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Aston Villa
The Birmingham side, playing at home last matchday, managed to get the better of Brighton (1:0). It was only the club's second win in their last six league games (2 draws and 2 defeats). It is also worth noting a drop in the attacking output of Unai Emery's men – across this six-match spell, they scored more than once only once. Even so, the club remain a lofty third in the table, sitting eight points behind leaders Arsenal.
- No more than two goals were scored in six of the Birmingham side's previous Premier League matches.
- At least one of the sides failed to score in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 league games.
- The team have won 9 of their last 11 home matches in the Premier League.
Potential Aston Villa Lineup (4-5-1)*
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Lamar Bogarde, Ian Maatsen, Tyrone Mings – Emiliano Buendia, Douglas Luiz, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Amadou Onana – Ollie Watkins.
Midfielders Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara are sidelined with injuries. Goalkeeper Marco Bizot will miss the match through suspension.
Leeds
The team continue to delight their supporters. Last matchday, they managed to draw with Chelsea on their ground (2:2). Interestingly, in their last five Premier League matches the club have lost only to Arsenal, picking up two wins and two draws in that run. Leeds sit low in 15th place, but they still have a decent six-point cushion over the bottom three. The team's attacking output also deserves mention, having scored 36 goals. For comparison, Aston Villa have just one more.
- The club have just two defeats in their last 13 Premier League matches (4 wins and 7 draws).
- Both teams to score landed in 13 of Leeds' last 16 league games.
- The team drew 5 of their previous 6 away matches in the Premier League.
Potential Leeds Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Karl Darlow – Joe Rodon, James Justin, Jaka Bijol – Sebastien Bornauw, Ilia Gruev, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson – Lukas Nmecha.
There are doubts over the involvement of defender Pascal Struijk, midfielder Anton Stach, and forward Noah Okafor.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 20 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;
Yellow cards per match on average – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 22;
Penalties – 5%.
Aston Villa vs Leeds: Match Prediction
In this upcoming showdown, we favour the home team. After all, the key factor in this game should be the home ground, where Aston Villa consistently produce good, high-quality football. In the last 11 league matches played at this stadium, Aston Villa have recorded nine wins. In addition, the Birmingham club were stronger in the last two head-to-head meetings (both finished 2:1).
Leeds are very good right now. They pick up points regularly and lose infrequently, but away from home they have not won in the league for a long time. In their previous 18 away Premier League matches, the club managed to beat only Wolverhampton, who are clear outsiders in the competition. That is why we think Aston Villa will edge past this opponent, even if it is not straightforward.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is listed.
