The Premier League matchday 29 fixture between Aston Villa and Chelsea will take place on 4 March at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs Chelsea: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Aston Villa
Birmingham’s representatives have not looked this poor since the start of the season, when they went five straight matches without a win. The club come into the upcoming game after a shock away defeat to Wolverhampton (0:2), as well as a home draw with Leeds (1:1). Overall, in their last five Premier League matches, Aston Villa have picked up just one win—against Brighton—while also losing twice and drawing twice. Unsurprisingly, after such a disappointing spell, the team have dropped to fourth place, and their gap to the nearest chaser outside the Champions League places is only three points.
- No more than two goals have been scored in each of the last eight league matches involving Birmingham’s side.
- Aston Villa have failed to score more than once in five straight Premier League matches.
- The club have conceded exactly one goal in six of their last seven home Premier League games.
Potential Aston Villa Lineup (4-5-1)*
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Matty Cash, Ian Maatsen, Tyrone Mings – Emiliano Buendia, Douglas Luiz, Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers, Amadou Onana – Ollie Watkins.
Due to injuries, midfielders Harvey Elliott, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara are out.
Chelsea
In the previous round, the team visited Arsenal and lost the derby 1:2. The club finished the match a man down, and Pedro Neto’s red card was Chelsea’s seventh sending-off of the current league campaign—by that metric, they are the clear leaders in the competition. Their six-match unbeaten run in the Premier League (four wins and two draws) also came to an end. As a result, the team have dropped to sixth in the standings and now trail the Champions League places by six points.
- Both teams have scored in each of the club’s last six league matches.
- Chelsea have scored at least twice in five of their last seven Premier League games.
- Three or more goals have been scored in five of the last six Premier League matches involving the Londoners.
Potential Chelsea Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Robert Sanchez – Mamadou Sarr, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Reece James – Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo – Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto – Joao Pedro.
Defender Levi Colwill, forward Estevao, as well as midfielders Jamie Gittens and Dario Essugo, and goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen will miss the game through injury. Midfielder Pedro Neto is out due to suspension.
Referee
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches – 16 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 25%.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Match Prediction
A very interesting contest awaits in Birmingham, where two sides battling for a top-four finish will meet. Even though there are six points between the teams and the match will be played at Villa Park, we believe the visitors are more likely to come out on top. After all, current form is slightly better for the Londoners, who have suffered only one defeat in their last seven league matches—and that loss came against the Premier League leaders.
It is also worth noting that the Londoners have avoided defeat in five of their last seven away Premier League matches. As for Aston Villa, despite playing their last eight matches against mid-table sides and strugglers, they have managed only two wins. Confidence at home has also evaporated: in their last four Premier League matches at their own stadium, Birmingham’s side have won just once (one draw and two defeats). Moreover, across those home games, the club have scored only two goals.
Aston Villa’s attack has clearly slowed. At the moment, Birmingham’s side have scored just 38 goals, and among the top 10 in the league only Everton’s players have scored fewer—which is hardly surprising given their attacking issues. It is also worth adding that in the last eight Premier League head-to-head meetings at this stadium, Aston Villa have recorded only two wins (one draw and five defeats).
Prediction: Chelsea Draw No Bet
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
