The Premier League Matchday 37 clash between Arsenal and Newcastle will be held on May 18 at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs. Newcastle: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Arsenal
The Gunners have failed to win in their last three Premier League matches, suffering a 1-2 defeat to Bournemouth and drawing 2-2 with both Crystal Palace and Liverpool. The team remains in second place in the league standings and can secure a spot in next season's Champions League with a victory in the upcoming match. Even a draw would suffice, as Aston Villa, currently sixth and outside the Champions League zone, would still trail Arsenal due to an inferior goal difference (currently by 26 goals).
- Arsenal has won just one of their last six Premier League matches (4 draws and 1 loss).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Arsenal's last 7 Premier League games.
- No more than three goals were scored in 9 of Arsenal's last 12 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Miles Lewis-Skelly, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Martin Odegaard, Thomas Partey, Mikel Merino – Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka.
Forward Gabriel Jesus and defenders Gabriel Magalhaes and Takehiro Tomiyasu will miss the match due to injuries. Midfielder Mikel Merino is suspended. The participation of forwards Leandro Trossard and Kai Havertz, as well as midfielder Declan Rice, is in doubt.
Newcastle
In the previous round, the team secured an important victory over Chelsea, defeating their closest competitor 2-0. Eddie Howe's side moved up to third place, three points ahead of Aston Villa, who are sixth. A win in this match would see Newcastle swap places with Arsenal. It's also worth noting that Newcastle has climbed to second in the Premier League for goals scored in the 2024/25 season with 68. Additionally, the team has won 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches (1 draw and 1 loss).
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of Newcastle's last 8 league games.
- Newcastle scored two or more goals in 6 of their last 8 Premier League matches.
- The team did not concede in the second half in 6 of their last 7 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-5-1)
Nick Pope – Sven Botman, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn – Jacob Murphy, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes – Alexander Isak.
Defender Matt Targett, forward Joelinton, and midfielder Lewis Hall will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Simon Hooper (England)
Matches – 23 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 105;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 22%.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Match Prediction
Both teams have strong motivations in the standings. This is particularly true for the visitors, who could see their chances of finishing in the Champions League zone diminish with a loss, while the Gunners can afford a draw. Arsenal also has a final match against Southampton, where they are unlikely to lose. Therefore, Eddie Howe's side will be more determined and eager to win.
Furthermore, Newcastle's current form is noticeably better. In their last nine Premier League matches, they have only lost to Aston Villa. That defeat is also their only loss in their last four away matches in the Premier League (2 wins and 1 draw). Meanwhile, Arsenal has not won in three consecutive home league matches (2 draws and 1 loss). Therefore, my prediction is "Newcastle win or draw".
