The second leg of the playoff match for a spot in the Russian Premier League between Akhmat and Ural will take place on May 31 at the Akhmat Arena in Grozny. The first match ended 2-1 in favor of Ural. Akhmat vs. Ural: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Akhmat
In the previous match, the Grozny side scored first and led at halftime, but conceded twice in the second half and ultimately lost 1-2. This marked the seventh consecutive match without a win for Akhmat (2 draws, 5 losses). Additionally, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight games. To retain their place in the Premier League, Akhmat needs to win by at least two goals in regular time. However, they could still stay in the RPL even if they lose to Ural, provided Pari NN wins in another matchup. This scenario is possible after Khimki failed to obtain an RFU license.
- The team has not lost in their last seven home matches in the Premier League (3 wins, 4 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of their last 7 home league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Akhmat's last 8 home matches in the RPL.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-4-2)
Vadim Ulyanov – Leo Goglichidze, Milos Shatara, Turpal-Ali Ibisev, Arsen Adamov – Vladislav Kamilov, Lechi Sadulaev, Ismael Silva, Darko Todorovic – Daniil Zorin, Georgy Melkadze.
Defender Nader Ghandri and midfielder Daniil Utkin will miss the game due to injuries. Note that Akhmat's head coach Sergey Tashuev has left, and the team will be prepared for the upcoming match by the coaching staff led by Fedor Shcherbachenko.
Ural
Sergey Tomarov's side, having won the first match, secured their fourth consecutive victory – the longest such streak for the club this season. However, Ural has not kept a clean sheet in their last nine matches. To advance to the Premier League, the club needs to avoid losing after 90 minutes, and if they lose by one goal, extra time will be played.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the First League (4 draws, 2 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of their last 9 away league matches.
- Ural has not conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the First League.
Predicted lineup for Ural (3-5-2)
Alexei Mamin – Mingiyan Beveev, Egor Filipenko, Artem Mamin – Silvie Begic, Stanislav Besmertny, Andrey Egorychev, Ilya Ishkov, Yuri Zheleznov – Vitaly Bondarev, Martin Sekulich.
Goalkeeper Alexander Selikhov, along with midfielders Daniel Mishkic, Daniil Kuznetsov, and Dmitry Kuchugura, will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Sergey Ivanov (Russia)
Matches – 13 (RPL, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 31%.
Match Prediction: Akhmat vs. Ural
The result of the first match forces Akhmat to attack, but their creativity has been lacking throughout the season. Even at home, Akhmat has rarely thrilled fans with a high number of goals. In their last nine home RPL matches, they have scored more than once only twice, and in two matches, they did not score at all.
Ural finds away matches challenging, but they fight for a positive result in every encounter. The team prioritizes solid defensive play and avoids unnecessary risks. In 8 of their last 9 away matches in the First League, they have not allowed opponents to score more than once, and they kept a clean sheet in four of those games.
I believe Ural will defend well and prevent Akhmat from making an impact in attack. My prediction: Akhmat individual total under 1.5 goals
